Bruce Keener’s Lifestream

 

Technology Review: The Singularity and the Fixed Point

Some futurists such as Ray Kurzweil have hypothesized that we will someday soon pass through a singularity--that is, a time period of rapid technological change beyond which we cannot envision the future of society. Most visions of this singularity focus on the creation of machines intelligent enough to devise machines even more intelligent than themselves, and so forth recursively, thus launching a positive feedback loop of intelligence amplification. It's an intriguing thought. (One of the first things I wanted to do when I got to MIT as an undergraduate was to build a robot scientist that could make discoveries faster and better than anyone else.) Even the CTO of Intel, Justin Rattner, has publicly speculated recently that we're well on our way to this singularity, and conferences like the Singularity Summit (at which I'll be speaking in October) are exploring how such transformations might take place.

Author Ed Boyden then goes on to say that it is essential that we engineer Motivation into AI, lest it becomes a superintelligence that considers the universe pointless (since it will eventually end) and lacks any goal-oriented behavior.

By the way, I tend to support the concept of the Singularity as described by Ray Kurzwell. I think it's just a matter of when ... some speculate 25 - 40 years. I don't consider that out of line.

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“Let’s face it…there are a lot of stupid people”

From dailykostv.com :

MONICA NOVOTNY: John, what about this controversy over opposition to Obama’s speech to school children?

JOHN HARWOOD: I gotta’ tell you Monica, I’ve been watching politics for a long time, and this one is really over-the-top. What is shows you is there are a lot of cynical people who try to fan controversy, and let’s face it, in a country of 300 million people, there are a lot of stupid people too, because if you believe that it’s somehow unhealthy for kids, for the president to say "work hard and stay in school," you’re stupid. In fact, I’m worried for some of those kids of those parents who are upset — I’m not sure they are smart enough to raise those kids.

Amen!

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Chet Atkins - Talks about his childhood and cancer

This is a very moving video interview of the late, great Chet Atkins. He reminds me in this interview so much of my Dad, who passed away 6 years ago this coming Sunday.

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OverThinking and UnderThinking

While I am on sabbatical, I am doing some self-analysis to try to find out why some of my not-so-good behaviors linger. In doing this I am trying to do a deep enough analysis to get to the root cause of each such behavior. Generally going deep enough identifies an erroneous belief. For example, if you are not good at managing money, an analysis might show that it is because you hold a belief that "money is evil," something you may have been taught in Sunday School many years ago and which has hung with you as a self-limiting belief.

Every time I do one of these self-analysis gigs, though, I realize how easy it is to overanalyze some problems, and perhaps to underanalyze others. That is, instead of sticking with what my intuition tells me the root cause is, I keep hacking away trying to go deeper, probably just confusing the hell out of the issue, winding up with more questions than answers. Of course, there are probably some issues where I don't go deep enough. I have a bit of a tendency to do more overanalysis, though.

Okay, so who cares? I agree that not many would be interested in my own self-analyses, but I think the issue of overthinking is something that anyone doing a self-analysis can get into. So, I am just giving you a heads-up on it. When you start a self-analysis, don't go longer than an hour at a time, then get away from it for a while. When you come back to it, you may be in a better position to judge whether you are going "too deep" (pure conjecture) on some items, and not deep enough on others.

TTFN

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The World's Shortest Fairy Tale

A friend sent this to me in an email. Not sure who wrote it, but they have a hat tip from me:

Once upon a time, a guy asked a girl, 'Will you marry me?' The girl said, 'NO!' And the guy lived happily ever after and rode motorcycles, and went fishing and hunting, and played golf a lot, and drank beer and scotch, and had tons of money in the bank, and left the toilet seat up, and farted whenever he wanted.

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A website about bilogical viruses: Virology 101

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The Evolution of God - by Robert Wright

Sounds like an interesting book. Certainly an interesting rebuttal of a shoddy review by Coyne.

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Excellent Documentation on How to Use the Carrington WordPress Theme

I have been impressed with the way the Carrington Theme, from Crowd Favorite, has evolved and with the fact that it is provided as open source software.

The downside to it to me, as a non-developer, is that is a complex framework for a non-developer to understand (and perhaps even for some developers). That is why I am glad to see that Alex King and his talented team have begun a documentation series for the theme framework. It is most impressive, and is easy enough for even a non-developer like me to understand.

Here are the articles they have put up so far:

  1. What is Carrington? The Q&A
  2. Carrington Framework Overview
  3. The General Context
  4. The Comment Context
  5. The Post Context
Again, my view is that these are extremely well-written articles and provide a good case for why one might want to use the Carrington framework.

I personally still like the Thesis framework, too, and there is an ongoing battle in my mind on which to use for my blog. Both are outstanding frameworks.

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The Mind of God

Stuart Kaufman has written a fascinating, although extremely complex, article for John Brockman's Edge, entitled Five Problems in the Philosophy of Mind. Among other things, he raises the possibility that our world is "lawless but nonrandom," meaning that there is no law that we could classify as a Theory of Everything, yet the world is not totally random. He uses this, along with his theory of consciousness arising from quantum decoherence and recoherence, to suggest that consciousness arose because it provides a survival advantage in this sort of world. If the world were completely lawful and operated in accordance with the principles of reductionism that so many scientists like to believe in, then consciousness would not be needed: we would only need to have computing facilities for our brains, but not consciousness.

As I read this I wondered to myself: does this mean that God would not have consciousness, since consciousness evolved to help us overcome our inabilities to compute what will happen?

I do not mean this to be a disrespectful question. Indeed, I ask the question in part to point out and emphasize that our concept of God is probably too similar to our concept of ourselves, at least for most of us. I think we typically try to think of God as a "super us," instead of as a being that is beyond our imagination.

Something to think about.

By the way, Kaufman does not claim to have described what consciousness is. The Hard Problem of Consciousness (as described by David Chalmbers) remains, with no clear solution in sight (to my knowledge). There is still the same variety of views about consciousness as there has been for many years, with some saying that it is merely a epiphenomena of the brain, and some saying that it is actually part of the fabric of the universe (as much as is gravity and space-time). I sometimes wonder about this myself, and am also intrigued by the late John Archibald Wheeler's "It from bit" interpretation of quantum mechanics, in which our consciousness "cooperates" with the universe in its creation.

Understanding consciousness is probably the most complex problem of all.

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Good Points from an Interview with Francis Collins

I realized that there were compelling signposts to God in nature: the fact that there is something instead of nothing, the unreasonable effectiveness of mathematics (Wigner’s phrase) to explain the behavior of matter and energy, the need to answer the question what came before the Big Bang? and the fine-tuning of physical constants in the universe to have just the value they need to make complexity possible. With my eyes opened by the first chapter of C.S. Lewis’s book Mere Christianity, I also realized that there was no simple materialistic explanation for the existence of right and wrong, nor for our universal human calling to be moral beings.

Sometimes I have religious beliefs, although in the steady-state I tend to be agnostic. Interestingly, I would like to return to having faith, and do admire people of faith, when they can defend their beliefs. So, I keep reading articles that are pro and con in this area, and sometimes come across something that really catches my attention. In this regard, I think the linked interview with Francis Collins is a good one, and Collins brings out some interesting points. The one quoted above particularly caught my attention. I am not so sure that I buy his views on our "built-in morality," but I do need to give his points more thought.

Anyway, thought I'd share this.

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